Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d7413be0f748383f2e6f318f927b43167bc601129767bfb05cf9c26a37f3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bustaof Jodar, Busta
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Busta | 66c | 5,303$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.94 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Jodar | 33c | 3,731$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.34 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Busta | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Jodar | 34c | 3,309$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.28 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Busta | 60c | 2,660$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.66 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Jodar | 2c | 2,566$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Jodar | 41c | 2,144$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Busta | 59c | 1,789$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.52 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Jodar | 40c | 1,560$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Jodar | 34c | 1,481$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.35 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Jodar | 35c | 711.07$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Jodar | 34c | 706$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Busta | 66c | 682.2$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Jodar | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Busta | 63c | 528.35$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.49 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Busta | 60c | 475.97$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.39 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Jodar | 34c | 457.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 419 | 41.1%172 W · 247 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Busta | 62c | 433.87$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Jodar | 39c | 368.92$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.88 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee12…c850backed Busta | 66c | 354.55$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jodar | 34c | 346.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Busta | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Busta | 63c | 315.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…ae0ebacked Busta | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Busta | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Busta | 65c | 303.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Jodar | 35c | 302.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 478 | 42.5%203 W · 275 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Jodar | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Busta | 62c | 269.35$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…39f7backed Jodar | 36c | 258.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jodar | 34c | 239.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Busta | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Busta | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Busta | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Jodar | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jodar | 32c | 145.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…87adbacked Busta | 68c | 145.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Jodar | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 154 | 40.9%63 W · 91 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Busta | 64c | 122.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jodar | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Busta | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Busta | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Jodar | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 436 | 43.8%191 W · 245 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…6741backed Busta | 65c | 80.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Jodar | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Jodar | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Jodar | 40c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Jodar | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jodar | 37c | 47.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Busta | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Jodar | 37c | 34.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Busta | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jodar | 40c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Busta | 51c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Busta | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 932 | 58.5%545 W · 387 L | +22.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Jodar | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Busta | 63c | 26.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Busta | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Busta (+2.5)this page
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Jodar vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaRafael Jodar won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs BustaBusta won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Busta (+1.5)Busta won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.