TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c33,365$16,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,485.193,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over42c19,166$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,165.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over42c14,438$6,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,433.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over41c13,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,67012832.8%42 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c10,348$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,264.982,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over58c8,012$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,402.075829.3%17 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under59c7,211$4,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.1192050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under59c6,276$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.542828.6%8 W · 20 L-7.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over67c6,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9502152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Under58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.986858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under59c4,312$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,553.991,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c4,014$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.931,61138.8%625 W · 986 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under59c3,925$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,315.565635.7%20 W · 36 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Over41c2,829$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over39c2,611$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.622045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over46c2,069$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.44850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1802944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over38c2,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2506026.7%16 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.953040%12 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Under52c1,881$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under58c1,594$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc62d…8fd8backed Over43c1,322$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.291154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Under68c1,314$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.311546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c1,271$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under60c1,245$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7472356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over47c1,136$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under58c1,074$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2916543.6%72 W · 93 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under32c1,042$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.513040%52 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under58c1,028$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.275534.5%19 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over77c1,009$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.436073.3%44 W · 16 L+9.6wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0551…3d39backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f7…b205backed Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over41c999.98$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Over42c999.98$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under32c962.66$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.051421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under39c945$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.088023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ae2…6ca6backed Under25c929.48$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under58c905$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.99858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Under57c842.49$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.221952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over41c829.1$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.25947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under58c736.17$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.244356.2%249 W · 194 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under59c723.32$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over40c720$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4327143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over30c685.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.761631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick22cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Under60c620.47$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.281861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Over67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under59c567.74$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0857149.6%283 W · 288 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99f…0d86backed Over61c561.81$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+48.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over78c513.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.332650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.826235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Under59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under15c499.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-84.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.84151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over41c485.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.371040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under55c484.11$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under51c445.23$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0718444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over41c414.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under19c409.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.846956.5%39 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2334…69b6backed Under19c403.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x259c…b11ebacked Over41c390.24$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.24650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under11c387.45$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1778544.8%352 W · 433 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.852128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c29…79b6backed Over38c362.25$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.61040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over56c360$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.48100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over43c342.17$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.044748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over80c337.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.954290.5%38 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under62c330$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under58c325$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.512358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under58c325$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.56959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c318.42$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0314654.1%79 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c304.25$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0970639.5%279 W · 427 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under47c302.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.982934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Under60c301.69$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1742540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over74c300$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under55c290.49$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7721243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under69c282.54$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6277141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over58c281.19$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under59c271$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.896136.1%22 W · 39 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under56c264.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1457266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ae…e0cdbacked Over41c241.46$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over41c236.59$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.598100%8 W · 0 L+4.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over39c230.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.77742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under59c230.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under58c225$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.57958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under52c222.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.783729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.