Europa Conference League · resolved market
SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacd6d5bcd320f6c418286a3276edd60c99e49cf648cd8b237f75e7c69b91ad5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 17,383$13,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.58 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 21c | 12,279$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,577.75 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 3,017$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 18c | 2,187$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 2,031$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.63 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…2d32backed Over | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…def2backed Over | 2c | 816.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 761.78$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 79c | 632$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Under | 59c | 605.08$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 80c | 419.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814f…aeecbacked Over | 33c | 418.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 16c | 395.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Under | 80c | 362.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 30c | 337.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 21c | 333.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 19c | 299.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 17c | 282.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Under | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2334…69b6backed Over | 35c | 259.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 249.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…899dbacked Over | 31c | 234.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Over | 46c | 193.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23ef…1d4cbacked Under | 79c | 158.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 148.33$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…fa07backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…639ebacked Over | 12c | 116.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 31c | 93.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 64c | 92.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 72c | 92.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…185cbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 77c | 79.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 71c | 70.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 76c | 66.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 36c | 64.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 55.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -21.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 74c | 42.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…2f49backed Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 79c | 34.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 33c | 33.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Under | 76c | 32.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 34c | 31.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed Under | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…15afbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0591…fb4abacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.