NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ee280202d91593801aa368accb589ddc1837e060fd2d3e2a9323ec08cc382cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 51c | 3,062$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.54 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 2,493$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 32c | 1,255$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 33c | 1,208$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Under | 33c | 1,206$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 39c | 901.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 2c | 862.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 67c | 742.72$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 75c | 458.11$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 68c | 441.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 68c | 436.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.67 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 75c | 331.15$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 77c | 320$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 67c | 233.24$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Over | 56c | 229.93$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…40fcbacked Under | 20c | 224.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Over | 69c | 217.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Under | 47c | 212.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 63c | 210$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 44c | 202$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.56 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 32c | 201.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 29c | 170.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Under | 33c | 166.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 68c | 158.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 141.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 24c | 136.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 68c | 135.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 64c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 99.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 34c | 73.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…bea8backed Over | 74c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 25c | 66.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Over | 77c | 60.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Under | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 43c | 57.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Under | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Over | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 70c | 39.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 68c | 33.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…8843backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 52c | 27.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.