TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,525

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa974…ef79backed Hurricanes37c21,399$7,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,481.1210743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Flyers63c16,562$10,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,433.9610545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Hurricanes37c15,500$5,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,7652343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hurricanes58c12,520$7,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,294.6589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Flyers63c9,603$6,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,049.8920756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers39c5,489$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.0399638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba81…dc35backed Hurricanes50c5,400$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7005364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Hurricanes38c5,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.488946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Hurricanes37c4,715$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,957.2928749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers52c4,476$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.332,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Flyers63c4,137$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.466137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Flyers63c3,308$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.7427044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Flyers62c3,267$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.066841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Flyers62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9719353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Flyers17c2,618$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.676527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Flyers63c2,200$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38661959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Flyers57c1,445$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.953844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes43c1,271$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.561,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Flyers62c1,100$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Flyers74c1,079$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers62c1,007$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.261,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Flyers63c933.83$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.3117761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37af…4b38backed Hurricanes38c894.74$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.742454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Hurricanes45c888.33$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.3319033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Flyers63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Flyers63c697.41$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.376456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Flyers63c612.7$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38610456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Hurricanes38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Flyers62c564.52$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Flyers63c557.26$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Flyers57c499.99$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5550251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Hurricanes38c450$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2796142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hurricanes37c433.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0926849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Flyers17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Hurricanes58c344.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8212357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Flyers63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Hurricanes52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…8210backed Flyers63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Hurricanes50c294.23$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7712859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Hurricanes69c282.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4af0…9996backed Hurricanes38c262.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Hurricanes37c238.88$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.497533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Hurricanes55c229$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Flyers53c215.3$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4124837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Hurricanes29c213.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.852536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Flyers63c200.05$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2376950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Flyers55c173.83$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Flyers58c168.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.291,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa574…5f84backed Flyers63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Hurricanes46c158.22$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.992483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Hurricanes47c154$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9821355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Flyers63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.54158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Flyers63c142.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Hurricanes37c135.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Flyers28c127.12$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2147024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Flyers31c127.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7219657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Flyers59c123$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9843742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Hurricanes37c111$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.939948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Flyers64c107.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.312944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Flyers63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Flyers62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6223665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Flyers62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.997580%60 W · 15 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Flyers50c99.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.191,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Hurricanes52c96.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.242470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Flyers43c95.46$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5714347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Flyers27c94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.782,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Flyers53c86.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.132853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hurricanes54c85.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Flyers53c85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0510739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Flyers59c80.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9824442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2f3…25dfbacked Flyers63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Flyers34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Flyers63c70.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.630549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Hurricanes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.573647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed Hurricanes37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.571850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Hurricanes39c64.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.832326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Flyers63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Flyers63c61.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hurricanes76c60.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3341050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Flyers63c59.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.798347%39 W · 44 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Flyers63c59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1736349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Hurricanes47c57.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5114254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Flyers60c55.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.912867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes40c49.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4617248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Flyers63c48.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5623754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Flyers64c47.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Hurricanes37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5471952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Hurricanes51c39.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2313442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5886…b8ffbacked Flyers64c39.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Flyers63c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.572045%9 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Hurricanes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0439751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Flyers38c37.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9514542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0094…a3e7backed Hurricanes38c36.26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Flyers63c35.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0622946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Hurricanes37c34.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Hurricanes58c33.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.068469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Flyers55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0621…0417backed Hurricanes50c32.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef9…8a00backed Flyers64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.