NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64b8ac0af408031e464f6da4cd668187669f708a77e9ade88e5416067f4b9395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.94 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 4,976$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 42c | 3,767$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.54 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 66c | 2,503$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.88 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 1,398$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.07 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 1,294$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 1,046$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.96 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 43c | 978.25$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.14 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 42c | 868.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.96 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 55c | 713.81$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 32c | 641.3$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 66c | 635.2$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.97 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259c…b11ebacked Under | 68c | 589$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 67c | 519.56$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.35 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 476$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 472.68$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 78c | 428.98$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 60c | 343$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 66c | 333$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 60c | 331$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 20c | 299.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 54c | 296.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.59 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 66c | 295$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 29c | 215.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…c2e6backed Under | 70c | 206.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 33c | 205.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 31c | 199.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 67c | 193.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…44febacked Under | 77c | 166.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Over | 47c | 165.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 68c | 147.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 133.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Over | 42c | 131.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 75c | 131.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 129.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 43c | 129.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Under | 54c | 114.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Under | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 61c | 112.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 61c | 110.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 66c | 109.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 70c | 106.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 71c | 105.73$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…359ebacked Over | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…95ebbacked Under | 67c | 93.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 66c | 90.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 90.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 87.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 48c | 82.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 71c | 69.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 29c | 69.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 27c | 64.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Over | 40c | 64.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 29c | 54.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 30c | 49.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 68c | 49.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 65c | 47.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 51c | 45.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Under | 66c | 44.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 64c | 38.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Over | 44c | 36.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 33.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Under | 66c | 32.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 33c | 30.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…93c0backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 15.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…c58fbacked Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Under | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.