Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a2555b5054225c04040fba6c377819ef8a448a8981d230def6b381009cfa44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniil Medvedevof Daniil Medvedev, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 40,003$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.22 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 13c | 22,438$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.54 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 20,151$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.75 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eed…64c2backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 14,248$10,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 5c | 12,374$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.18 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 11,042$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.04 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 9,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.99 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 6,683$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.75 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 6,484$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.21 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 6,395$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.57 | 157 | 65.6%103 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 16c | 5,947$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.74 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 5,905$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.13 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 13c | 5,291$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.88 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.97 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 4,966$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 4,394$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.76 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6c | 4,234$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 23c | 3,654$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.6 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 3,576$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.89 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 3,172$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.56 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 3,152$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…8020backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 11c | 2,987$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.49 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…b473backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 2,787$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 2,695$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.74 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 2,589$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.12 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 2,159$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.22 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…8decbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 2,149$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 1,956$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.29 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 1,891$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Daniil Medvedev | 79c | 1,828$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.74 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 1,735$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.56 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 1,630$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.23 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 1,377$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 1,348$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.87 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 1,232$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…b339backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 1,226$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 14c | 1,222$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 1,099$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.77 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 997.87$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.18 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 975.15$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 183 | 15.8%29 W · 154 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 15c | 896.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 896.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.1 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 11c | 840.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 791.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.07 | 1,425 | 55.1%785 W · 640 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 26c | 772.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 740.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 708.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 673.84$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.94 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…f274backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 643.14$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 20c | 604.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 18c | 581.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 568.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 28c | 553.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 23c | 542.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…9997backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 538.97$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 535.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 529.26$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.49 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 518.74$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 28c | 512.57$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…0e57backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 504.24$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 20c | 500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 444.55$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Daniil Medvedev | 72c | 443.51$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 78c | 414.13$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…68e3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 400$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 394.48$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 11c | 379.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 369.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 17c | 362.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 28c | 338.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 481 | 44.5%214 W · 267 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Daniil Medvedev | 74c | 316.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 13c | 303.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 286.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Daniil Medvedev | 80c | 284.93$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f92…dec0backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 235.84$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 855 | 68.3%584 W · 271 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 229.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…eea1backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 226.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 19c | 224.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 130 | 33.8%44 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 222.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 20c | 207.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 7c | 206.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 202.15$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 196.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Daniil Medvedev | 76c | 195.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 850 | 57.5%489 W · 361 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Daniil Medvedev | 77c | 190.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…11a3backed Daniil Medvedev | 73c | 190.47$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 9c | 190.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerthis page
- Daniil Medvedev vs. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Medvedev vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs KjaerMedvedev won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Medvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.