TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Over55c48,626$26,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,946.7967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under44c20,005$8,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,801.9941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under45c14,300$6,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,43518641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under45c13,024$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.610146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over56c11,438$6,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.2189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under45c7,340$3,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.13333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,396$1,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.091,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over56c3,205$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.099157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over56c3,170$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.8827044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c2,762$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.4459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c2,737$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.1533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over54c2,600$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Under23c2,392$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.213747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Under46c2,103$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.650049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under46c2,054$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.411330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under40c1,723$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.26728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c1,558$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7091,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under44c1,449$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4810663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over55c1,240$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c1,122$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.2728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c1,009$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.873,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c957.4$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.0114551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Over54c899.88$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9412258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under38c831.02$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.051,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under44c767.8$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.8383149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under45c766.88$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9729448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c695.15$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8747256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over56c687.97$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.497265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under45c674.75$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c630.97$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8638147.2%180 W · 201 L+0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over60c603.14$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.091,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over60c571$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.413841.3%57 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under35c513.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Over56c459.87$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.131070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over69c452.66$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.32,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under45c452.31$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Over70c420.86$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.261163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over55c363$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.354050%20 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over54c353.68$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6910545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Over56c347.71$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.991861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over56c335.72$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.728469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4775…0bcebacked Over70c280.91$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under46c262.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8214353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over59c246.88$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0111533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Over72c219.47$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.196142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c217.17$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6725449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Over70c210.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.132085%17 W · 3 L+5.5wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under48c210.09$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7420147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8812536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under45c199.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9920245%91 W · 111 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over54c189.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.865358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa144…565fbacked Under45c180.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3340%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under45c176.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.634158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over55c173.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over56c170.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9727659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c167.86$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8612357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over55c119$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.556046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under35c114.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4239344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over58c106.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.473655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under15c104.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.283839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over55c98.6$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3759852.3%313 W · 285 L+34.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0828847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under44c91.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2345651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.252454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4e…417cbacked Under45c86.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.732740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over55c85.36$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.293250%16 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…8be6backed Over61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Under45c79.8$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.913250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over56c78.4$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8415554.8%85 W · 70 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6814254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over55c70.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8439751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Over56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.613442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under38c63.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2314351.7%74 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c62.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9353849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c61.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1233745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cb…3636backed Over57c60.54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2573…2726backed Over55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.273565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over56c52.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1210357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052483.3%20 W · 4 L+6.1wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over56c48.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6514052.1%73 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over56c47.06$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8136852.2%192 W · 176 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under28c45.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7319657.1%112 W · 84 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under28c45.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.735954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under28c45.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7311852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under28c45.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7316054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…377bbacked Over55c44.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.12560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed Over55c44.23$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c4…c3b0backed Under45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Over61c39.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over56c39$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3313855.1%76 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Over70c35.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under45c33.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28164.2%52 W · 29 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c33.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over67c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.897152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.