NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd72e3f5c9139839cfae54c7d50b797979791e3aaad71d3fd615a9a60967ccf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 61c | 17,091$10,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,425.21 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Over | 39c | 6,575$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.97 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 60c | 6,509$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.28 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,626$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 39c | 3,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 60c | 2,927$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 60c | 2,095$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 59c | 1,858$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Over | 40c | 1,786$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.49 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 39c | 1,635$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.12 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 1,566$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 40c | 1,446$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 39c | 1,354$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.3 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 40c | 1,344$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.73 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Under | 56c | 1,292$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 895.21$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Over | 40c | 804.94$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 40c | 745$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.08 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 42c | 736.13$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 581.65$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.76 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 40c | 554.3$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 41c | 514.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.35 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Over | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 490.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 58c | 489.33$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 41c | 483.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 40c | 441.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 380.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 55c | 360.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…0f2abacked Under | 55c | 333.35$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 330$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 40c | 289.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Over | 40c | 277.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.51 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 62c | 266.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 61c | 216.13$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Under | 61c | 209.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…c4e0backed Under | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 41c | 168.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 17c | 160.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5106backed Under | 58c | 157.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 141.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 11c | 140.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 32c | 119.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 60c | 107.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Over | 42c | 105.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 47c | 104.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.36 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b9…255dbacked Over | 40c | 102.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 236 | 65.7%155 W · 81 L | +15.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 49c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 32c | 79.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 75.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 51c | 59.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 46c | 55.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5599…326dbacked Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 57c | 40.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 40c | 40.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…a757backed Under | 58c | 33.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Over | 55c | 32.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 50c | 32.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 30.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 25.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 51c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 58c | 20.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 63c | 19.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.