NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4834f35d5ebdb006218dc2df5537f6c2d0a2dbb95a40d711e5ddfa4d416ea96b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 24c | 2,080$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.88 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,371$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.59 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 35c | 1,371$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 1,338$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.62 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 55c | 977.19$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.31 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Under | 79c | 816.52$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.83 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 29c | 624.02$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.37 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 61c | 619.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 68c | 596.96$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 36c | 534.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 78c | 497.39$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…3266backed Over | 40c | 482$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 354.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 20c | 260$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 80c | 256.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 177.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 21c | 171$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 22c | 170.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…0608backed Under | 69c | 132.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 63c | 115$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 46c | 110.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Under | 59c | 106.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Over | 37c | 95.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 37c | 93.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Over | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 69c | 82.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 43c | 75.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 31c | 68.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 70c | 53.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 43c | 51.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 66c | 48.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over | 41c | 46.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 43.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 42.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…6c9fbacked Over | 38c | 38.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 73c | 30.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 27.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 67c | 27.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 72c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 59c | 25.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over | 62c | 19.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 64c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 80c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 80c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 80c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 7.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. UtahGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.