TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Golden Knights32c71,070$22,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,941.1820354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Utah67c37,230$25,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,137.9410545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Utah67c32,797$21,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,822.9440351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Utah68c15,801$10,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,056.174850%24 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden Knights33c11,311$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.7618853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden Knights33c11,311$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.7618452.7%97 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Utah68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Utah67c9,520$6,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.3159450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Utah68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Golden Knights33c4,027$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.8637754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Utah69c4,000$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Utah68c3,949$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.812552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Golden Knights33c3,631$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.1233450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah67c3,204$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.3476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Utah68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9606456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Golden Knights33c2,892$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.239260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb93…b12dbacked Utah68c2,888$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaed…dbc2backed Utah67c2,528$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…d21bbacked Golden Knights33c2,478$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights9c1,683$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.722,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Utah70c1,531$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.3620450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Utah68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden Knights30c1,394$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.220756.5%117 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Utah68c1,210$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.7533554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Utah69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Golden Knights33c1,075$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Utah68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked Utah68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights37c965.17$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.261848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Golden Knights13c940.4$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.056527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Utah68c875$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28010663.2%67 W · 39 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Golden Knights32c804.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3322946.3%106 W · 123 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Utah66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23813747.4%65 W · 72 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Golden Knights33c581.7$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9615051.3%77 W · 73 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Utah70c499.01$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4450251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Utah67c426.5$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.759757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35aa…250fbacked Utah68c421.44$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Golden Knights33c409.05$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.997761%47 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights26c390.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.732,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Golden Knights31c383.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8718046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden Knights57c364.26$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.053,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Golden Knights45c356.9$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9114045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights37c345.17$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Utah47c323.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.241050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa919…65fabacked Utah39c305.43$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.962441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Utah68c299.98$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9923665.7%155 W · 81 L+15.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Golden Knights33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9811852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Golden Knights60c238.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.649231.5%29 W · 63 L-12.7wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Golden Knights31c211.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6857238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Golden Knights46c209.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.731,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e23…a1ebbacked Golden Knights33c207.59$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Utah58c194.56$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.041435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9c…a907backed Utah68c183.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.823100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Utah51c183.44$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.891,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden Knights32c168.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4128749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Golden Knights33c163.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.013756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Utah78c157.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.691687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.7wins+0.36per pick52cpaid+81.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Golden Knights31c154.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.937861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights72c154.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.961,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Golden Knights32c148.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9711650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Golden Knights33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9916054.4%87 W · 73 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Golden Knights33c145.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9919153.4%102 W · 89 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Utah68c144.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1610359.2%61 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights18c142.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.332,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Golden Knights41c117.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.647024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Golden Knights13c116.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7923950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Golden Knights54c116.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8565721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf438…9901backed Golden Knights33c116.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Golden Knights33c116.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.392552%13 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Golden Knights33c108.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e33…c3eebacked Utah33c106.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.041250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Utah69c104.16$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b94…c347backed Utah57c97.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.891741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Golden Knights33c95.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.673847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xada6…9447backed Utah69c95.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.653250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Golden Knights33c91.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0422853.9%123 W · 105 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Golden Knights32c89.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Golden Knights49c88.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.416134.4%21 W · 40 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Utah63c82.83$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6512357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b67…f13cbacked Golden Knights46c82.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.731553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Golden Knights63c79.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.297152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Golden Knights45c76.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6511533.9%39 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Utah28c73.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7929533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Utah33c72.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Golden Knights33c70.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.233666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8b…ba7bbacked Golden Knights33c69.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Golden Knights33c69.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810357.3%59 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Golden Knights30c68.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4139649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd628…1782backed Utah55c64.62$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+63%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Golden Knights30c62.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9831148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Golden Knights29c61.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Golden Knights33c61.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.313839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Golden Knights29c61.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8826136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Utah68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.220350.7%103 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Utah57c59.92$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8214542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Golden Knights33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.27761%47 W · 30 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Golden Knights33c58.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.212358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Golden Knights46c57.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6445069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Golden Knights33c55.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3116454.9%90 W · 74 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…86c0backed Golden Knights33c45.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.