South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06e53a092852c2c82afc137aab8085634f3cc968a5cac30c3596acf50d046bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 2,930$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 80c | 2,513$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 2,120$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 1,130$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.63 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 56c | 749.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.14 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 44c | 450.68$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 450.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 45c | 250.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 45c | 241.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 222.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 44c | 219.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 184.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 70c | 158.89$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 131.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 39c | 120.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 44c | 101.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 80.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 73.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…e5b8backed Yes | 41c | 69.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 66.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Yes | 44c | 53.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Yes | 44c | 51.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed No | 59c | 47.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed No | 40c | 38.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes | 41c | 38.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 34.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 57c | 29.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Yes | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 45c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 56c | 23.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 57c | 20.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.