South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c7fc9a09c432c73d87eef6d721ab9b3c376e04571df85f85ed02feaf2e7bb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Universidad Católicaof CA Boca Juniors, CD Universidad Católica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 2,178$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.99 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked CA Boca Juniors | 37c | 2,086$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.82 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 2,006$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.22 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Universidad Católica | 62c | 1,668$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.28 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked CA Boca Juniors | 32c | 1,578$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Universidad Católica | 78c | 824.88$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CD Universidad Católica | 70c | 775.47$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed CD Universidad Católica | 61c | 559.01$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CA Boca Juniors | 37c | 403.31$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked CA Boca Juniors | 22c | 331.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 308.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…984cbacked CA Boca Juniors | 42c | 244.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 232.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 226.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked CA Boca Juniors | 42c | 212.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CD Universidad Católica | 64c | 182.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 175.46$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9366…a9f6backed CA Boca Juniors | 41c | 147.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…c1bcbacked CA Boca Juniors | 41c | 147.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed CA Boca Juniors | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CD Universidad Católica | 62c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 109.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 101.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed CA Boca Juniors | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 95.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CD Universidad Católica | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed CA Boca Juniors | 34c | 83.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 68.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…03d1backed CA Boca Juniors | 43c | 68.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CA Boca Juniors | 37c | 48.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed CA Boca Juniors | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CD Universidad Católica | 59c | 47.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed CA Boca Juniors | 38c | 45.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed CA Boca Juniors | 38c | 44.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed CA Boca Juniors | 39c | 40.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed CD Universidad Católica | 63c | 40.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed CA Boca Juniors | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked CA Boca Juniors | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed CD Universidad Católica | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed CA Boca Juniors | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked CD Universidad Católica | 60c | 16.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.