South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d3ac667ed7d857289b15e836d0dc7837eabacdc2767b6ca59769a63961795c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 53c | 7,317$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.85 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked Under | 61c | 1,772$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 55c | 1,470$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.15 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 1,441$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.03 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.71 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 76c | 1,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.67 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 1,251$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.87 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 1,016$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.52 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 872.85$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 749.29$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.9 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 512.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 39c | 456.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 413.29$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Over | 47c | 360.39$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 337.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 75c | 251.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over | 47c | 208.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Over | 12c | 208.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Over | 46c | 166.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 32c | 157.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 155.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 54c | 112.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 40c | 95.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Under | 55c | 91.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…a0dabacked Over | 45c | 77.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Under | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 47c | 65.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 49c | 59.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 46c | 57.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 60c | 55.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 47c | 54.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…4c8abacked Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 64c | 39.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 46c | 35.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…0502backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 24.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 22.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…1974backed Under | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.