South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf40562d0c3e421191825fab8b71d1b635849cfe0c8be6b7fbc4776e7d6f2616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 25c | 2,096$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,902$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 1,642$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 75c | 1,100$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 12c | 763.58$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 24c | 499.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 22c | 298.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 298.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Under | 78c | 219.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 182.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 151.58$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 115.03$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…c484backed Under | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 25c | 80.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 71.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 75c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Under | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.