Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a4f621a2705e8663b031a0c0760f1f968ab2a4e6a770531a05366b93c43b55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 24,738$13,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,403.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…8ed4backed Yes | 54c | 12,153$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,507.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 31c | 9,999$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.75 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 9,620$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.12 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 8,225$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 49c | 5,316$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.74 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 4,273$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,512.09 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 43c | 3,402$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.65 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa902…d159backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 60c | 3,321$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 58c | 2,565$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes | 59c | 2,362$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.41 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261c…6b12backed Yes | 51c | 2,304$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,724$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 1,639$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.56 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,450$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.26 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,418$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 47c | 1,031$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.24 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcb…1815backed Yes | 58c | 1,027$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,026$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…a98dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 926.75$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.21 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Yes | 59c | 810.75$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 58c | 752.31$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 41c | 699.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 42c | 668.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.88 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 43c | 606.56$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 43c | 606.56$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb37f…6d0ebacked Yes | 59c | 568.72$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 54c | 560.84$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.11 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked No | 56c | 544.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed No | 42c | 518.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 47c | 517.28$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed Yes | 59c | 462.58$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 54c | 413.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 59c | 376.27$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d4…9b97backed Yes | 59c | 339.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 58c | 309.96$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 50c | 301.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 41c | 291.18$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 42c | 261.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…dfefbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed No | 43c | 258.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 253.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 239.13$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720c…662ebacked Yes | 58c | 225$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes | 58c | 209.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 50c | 202.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…e8c9backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…68f2backed Yes | 57c | 190$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…1c12backed Yes | 55c | 187.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…c9a6backed Yes | 54c | 182.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf16…7428backed Yes | 58c | 171.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 59c | 170.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…1b84backed Yes | 53c | 169.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 42c | 169.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 42c | 165.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 40c | 153.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 44c | 151.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Yes | 59c | 147.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…95f3backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 137.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…213dbacked Yes | 58c | 135.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 133.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 131.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Yes | 54c | 129.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 57c | 126.11$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 59c | 121.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…ab59backed Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 57c | 119.96$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…fa11backed No | 47c | 118.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 59c | 118.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed No | 42c | 112.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.