TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over17c5,780$1,000 inLost-$999.5214612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c4,256$394 inLost-$394.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c3,600$297 inLost-$297.164,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over13c999.99$130 inLost-$13040736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c787.73$57 inLost-$56.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over15c749.84$112 inLost-$112.4843826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over6c607.78$39 inLost-$39.316325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over4c580.46$25 inLost-$25.441,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over14c299.1$42 inLost-$41.8711520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over9c277.77$25 inLost-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over9c260.42$25 inLost-$24.7223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Over14c250$35 inLost-$3511631.9%37 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over16c245$39 inLost-$39.223732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over16c206.25$33 inLost-$3343819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over14c199.99$28 inLost-$2810820.4%22 W · 86 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over16c188.44$30 inLost-$30.1520330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over10c133.2$13 inLost-$13.328734.5%30 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over14c126.56$18 inLost-$17.722,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Over15c125$19 inLost-$18.7517218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over9c118$11 inLost-$10.621,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over13c115.4$15 inLost-$151,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Over16c93.75$15 inLost-$152227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over16c62.89$10 inLost-$107824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over16c62.5$10 inLost-$1018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.