Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa20a96c8bae8a87f41fc197246bf65de5910c9b17223708156a7df542650de39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed Over | 54c | 42,025$22,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,876.94 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…db10backed Over | 40c | 17,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.96 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 16,811$7,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.8 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 12,329$7,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,780.81 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Over | 52c | 9,874$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.39 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.66 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 6,214$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.67 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 5,742$3,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 5,685$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 5,293$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Under | 49c | 5,104$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.06 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.83 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 4,903$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.6 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 42c | 4,787$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.4 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 4,401$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.67 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…7bc9backed Under | 47c | 4,250$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 50c | 3,204$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.29 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 2,726$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.02 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 50c | 2,132$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 2,055$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.72 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 31c | 1,966$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Under | 66c | 1,822$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 1,648$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.29 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 1,645$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.56 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 49c | 1,354$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.79 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 45c | 1,154$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.15 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Under | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 64c | 1,118$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 1,110$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.54 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 48c | 1,087$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.91 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…8968backed Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 48c | 910$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Over | 52c | 848.37$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 61c | 800.55$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 50c | 792.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 758.65$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 726.77$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.46 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 47c | 699.42$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…3c2dbacked Under | 56c | 654.89$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 47c | 634.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 47c | 621.28$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 46c | 600$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 564.38$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.47 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 46c | 562.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 562.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Over | 10c | 560.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 54c | 556.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…30f9backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 538.81$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…ffd9backed Over | 54c | 511.11$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 508.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 502.98$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 49c | 499.96$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.98 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 40c | 495.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 22c | 447.65$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 427.08$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 402.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 45c | 392.57$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 53c | 391.13$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.3 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 53c | 388.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.84 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…a83bbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 375.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 52c | 365.5$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 363.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.79 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Over | 54c | 354.41$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 47c | 334.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 47c | 333.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under | 61c | 320.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…da6abacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…e416backed Over | 53c | 278.87$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 43c | 268.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 62c | 266.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Under | 60c | 264.55$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 59c | 259.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5this page
- Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.