TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,048

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over54c42,025$22,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,876.9421029%61 W · 149 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over40c17,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.962835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under46c16,811$7,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c12,329$7,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,780.811,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Over52c9,874$5,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,106.399929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.6617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c6,214$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.6710539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c5,742$3,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c5,685$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c5,293$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.142,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under49c5,104$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.0617034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.8324144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c4,903$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.63,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over42c4,787$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under57c4,401$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.6741451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under47c4,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.543850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under50c3,204$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.2912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6208743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under46c2,726$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.021,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under50c2,132$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.997943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c2,055$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.724,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c1,966$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.982,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed Under66c1,822$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.571338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under47c1,648$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.2923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over30c1,645$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5624649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under45c1,600$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under49c1,354$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.7961750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over45c1,154$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1544435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Under49c1,133$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under64c1,118$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.831968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c1,110$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.5435549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under48c1,087$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.9119744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under48c910$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.226454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8969…2cabbacked Over52c848.37$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.152321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under61c800.55$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under50c792.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over55c758.65$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over54c726.77$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.468250%41 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under45c700$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38538351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under47c699.42$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.6838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…3c2dbacked Under56c654.89$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.183650%18 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under47c634.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.875232.7%17 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under47c621.28$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2819317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.248041.3%33 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c610$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.110042%42 W · 58 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under46c600$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31235251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under61c564.38$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under46c562.77$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7113151.1%67 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c562.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over10c560.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under54c556.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.061154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ca…30f9backed Over55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under48c538.81$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.185653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e2…ffd9backed Over54c511.11$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2761631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under57c508.02$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6419946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under49c502.98$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under49c499.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9815048%72 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over40c495.72$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8423940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over51c454.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2324946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over22c447.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.721,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under48c427.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.087452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1613948.2%67 W · 72 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c402.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21617042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over45c392.57$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7323345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over53c391.13$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.330463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over53c388.38$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.848955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x535f…a83bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010523.8%25 W · 80 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c375.8$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.087830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.375141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over52c365.5$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.062356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c363.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.791,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Over54c354.41$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3822450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under47c334.02$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.034727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c333.81$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.053,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Under61c320.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2514556.6%82 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Over9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.716958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-46.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12914146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8174…e416backed Over53c278.87$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over43c268.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6411027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c266.73$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Under60c264.55$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.821952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1611544.3%51 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under45c260$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14339951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under59c259.99$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10631553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.