TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Under70c23,908$16,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,141.7917034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over30c22,982$6,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,894.614456.8%25 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c4,939$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over32c4,704$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over30c3,234$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.2411122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c2,059$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.034,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Over30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9911654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under70c1,925$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4361750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over29c1,608$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.972,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under69c1,578$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over32c1,200$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4722041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c1,079$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over2c1,029$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.571,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over29c1,023$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.6714738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c968.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under71c932.32$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c782.52$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over32c749.87$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.4643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over30c667.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under68c607.29$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.983,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under69c604.2$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.042,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…9645backed Under71c563.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.874065%26 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over31c409$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed Over7c404.13$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2917223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over14c402.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3520560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over16c382.53$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.851,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under77c369.29$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5663151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b6…41b4backed Under71c363.56$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.432166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under69c287$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c274.57$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3710330.1%31 W · 72 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under77c273.13$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4784738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over14c269.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.585550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under69c234.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x767b…d86cbacked Over29c233.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under69c232.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.493,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under68c222$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.291,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under69c199.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9917042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x96ea…639abacked Under70c196.53$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.967635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over11c186.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c186$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.382,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under68c181.9$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.211,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over24c146.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2823345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x810f…aa88backed Under72c144.92$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.857352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under69c122.02$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.831,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under71c111.03$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9611520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over23c108.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc8…2a51backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519356%108 W · 85 L+34.7wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+61%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514260.6%86 W · 56 L+25.7wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+49.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over32c107.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.738734.5%30 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54731.9%15 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over25c94.54$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2670948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277824.4%19 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over24c81.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.723940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under69c80.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Under68c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.615345.8%70 W · 83 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Under80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-61.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over32c68.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.882340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4451…b790backed Over17c66.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over31c61.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.146373%46 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Under70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1410667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over31c51.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1619540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under70c51.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.431040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under68c50.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.336045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x372e…4ed8backed Over20c50.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0497…c5e3backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154835.4%17 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under69c49.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under70c47.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.416659.6%99 W · 67 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under68c47.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2811054.5%60 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac50…d728backed Over29c44.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133727%10 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.868572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under68c42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4439746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under72c40.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2811749.6%58 W · 59 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.841344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9cf…e14bbacked Under71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under72c29.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2418764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Under71c28.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.285275%39 W · 13 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x610d…6c37backed Under71c26.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.793754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57c…b99bbacked Under71c26.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.792356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…1fd5backed Under80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under68c23.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5748152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7416262.3%101 W · 61 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11c5…70e3backed Under77c20.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x901e…e83cbacked Under70c20.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Under70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa372…65bbbacked Under77c19.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.563557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick71cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Under78c19.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2917154.4%93 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…ae63backed Under70c17.03$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.121758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under69c15.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.672,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.543653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1611860.2%71 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.