Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f00cbc5f8b02ae96b0b4812c529a5cf0e3dec688597115b33bc671616ff7221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Under | 70c | 23,908$16,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.79 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 30c | 22,982$6,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,894.61 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.6wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 4,939$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 32c | 4,704$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 146 | 12.3%18 W · 128 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 30c | 3,234$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.24 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 70c | 2,059$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.03 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 70c | 1,925$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.43 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 1,608$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 69c | 1,578$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.17 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 32c | 1,200$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.47 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 17c | 1,079$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,029$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 29c | 1,023$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.67 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 968.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…d2dcbacked Under | 71c | 932.32$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 782.52$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 32c | 749.87$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.46 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 30c | 667.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 607.29$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 604.2$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Under | 71c | 563.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 409$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.01 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed Over | 7c | 404.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 14c | 402.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 382.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 77c | 369.29$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…41b4backed Under | 71c | 363.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 69c | 287$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.17 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 274.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.37 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 77c | 273.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 14c | 269.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 69c | 234.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…d86cbacked Over | 29c | 233.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 232.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 222$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 69c | 199.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 70c | 196.53$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 11c | 186.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 181.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 24c | 146.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…aa88backed Under | 72c | 144.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 69c | 122.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 71c | 111.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 23c | 108.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…2a51backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Over | 32c | 107.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 25c | 94.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 31c | 87.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 24c | 81.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 69c | 80.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Under | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Under | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 32c | 68.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…b790backed Over | 17c | 66.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Under | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Under | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Under | 68c | 50.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Over | 20c | 50.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 69c | 49.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 70c | 47.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 68c | 47.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 72c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…e14bbacked Under | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb1…daf7backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 188 | 21.8%41 W · 147 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Under | 72c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Under | 71c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Under | 71c | 26.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57c…b99bbacked Under | 71c | 26.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…1fd5backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 68c | 23.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0e0fbacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…70e3backed Under | 77c | 20.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901e…e83cbacked Under | 70c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 77c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ad68backed Under | 78c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 171 | 54.4%93 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb549…ae63backed Under | 70c | 17.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 69c | 15.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5this page
- Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Croatia won
- Spread: Croatia (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Croatia (-2.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.