TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,699

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40b9…a596backed Over8c3,497$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,217.5720150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over76c3,402$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.472,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under37c3,096$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.4812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over77c2,984$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.4111561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under52c2,674$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.5120839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c2,631$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.571,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c2,357$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c1,869$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.762,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Under17c1,676$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.599740.2%39 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under37c1,466$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.51742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under35c1,464$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9603…de5ebacked Under1c1,209$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over73c1,096$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.898672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under56c1,081$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.62516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c1,080$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under68c1,058$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under35c1,048$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.641451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Over77c1,004$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.892969%20 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over63c944.28$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.794,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under55c772.62$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under45c747.53$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3919744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41c2…b6a5backed Over56c686.16$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.915248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under29c661.4$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3384738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under31c650$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under65c630.91$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.28643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f94…cb06backed Over78c630.68$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.752343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under42c617.68$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.421,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under25c598.81$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7511520%23 W · 92 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over76c592.11$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1122551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Over60c566.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.675062%31 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under43c527$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.484372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under67c500$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33631156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over78c487.18$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1810756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c474.63$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00e…ea73backed Under3c458.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510732.7%35 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c442.26$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.921,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over77c441.56$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5611252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Over63c406.35$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.352669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9623440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.616050%30 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…ce0abacked Over49c370.82$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.125074%37 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under49c369.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c362.32$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3255153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ecb…514cbacked Under51c347.82$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under23c331$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.613,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Over77c324.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.689660.4%58 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over77c300.55$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1341857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Over65c299.31$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4813268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over65c298.68$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under23c279.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7411965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0145…35d0backed Over77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7414866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.7wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over70c255.02$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503488.2%30 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+31%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Over72c250$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.56958%40 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c213.05$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9925455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under79c210$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8211759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507352.1%38 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd371…d25fbacked Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491c…b765backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5021955.3%121 W · 98 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115949.7%79 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over51c190.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.536066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8582…959fbacked Over27c181.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4810440.4%42 W · 62 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Under50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902119%4 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Under24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over78c166.67$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6710068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c07backed Under55c161.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.441050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c158.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.977864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5215654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05bc…f3ebbacked Under23c150.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.698734.5%30 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over66c150.65$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2213253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Over30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…7a39backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423390.9%30 W · 3 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick71cpaid+28.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under61c138$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1817255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over66c132.78$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5423345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Over58c128.1$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-65.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over78c127.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5310261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c125$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0550833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over66c118.18$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1815143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c3…bda2backed Over77c115$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.45475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Under35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015156.3%85 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Over64c111.83$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.835056%28 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over76c109.97$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under23c107.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7320330.5%62 W · 141 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9444…5db6backed Under45c105.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over50c103.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.755745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Under27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516040.6%65 W · 95 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ea…0cf7backed Over78c87.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.