TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks50c130,751$65,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,375.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00017251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Knicks50c29,205$14,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,602.3637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2f…aaf8backed 76ers50c17,500$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,7501936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed 76ers50c15,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5008345.8%38 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed 76ers50c13,032$6,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,51637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x956f…5758backed 76ers49c11,200$5,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,711.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks50c11,088$5,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,543.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Knicks51c10,012$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,073.2822039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00014538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks21c8,713$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.862,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked 76ers50c8,400$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20012056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks28c6,275$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.971,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…bc09backed 76ers74c5,399$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed 76ers50c5,078$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.0938143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed 76ers50c4,602$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.0615336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Knicks6c4,515$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked 76ers71c4,059$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.837064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 76ers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked 76ers50c3,961$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.785940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Knicks51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Knicks51c3,705$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.39911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-78.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks43c3,677$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.9755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed 76ers51c3,659$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.9615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked 76ers56c3,561$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.46144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks23c3,519$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.191,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers57c3,245$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.912,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed 76ers50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks25c3,192$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.78,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers49c3,141$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.011,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers49c2,625$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.5816841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers49c2,612$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed 76ers50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2504744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d16…821abacked 76ers50c2,491$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.6813441%55 W · 79 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed 76ers49c2,387$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.3616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers65c2,299$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.652,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Knicks51c2,229$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1372142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed 76ers49c2,196$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.1912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Knicks51c2,176$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11021957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked 76ers55c2,163$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.2414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Knicks48c2,147$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks36c2,078$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9211946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Knicks35c2,008$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.4716335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Knicks51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers50c1,897$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.4482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed 76ers50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks46c1,551$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.9369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers50c1,480$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.818343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Knicks51c1,398$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7137054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks21c1,309$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks48c1,307$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.428348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers52c1,255$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.548845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks51c1,233$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62925945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Knicks37c1,216$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked 76ers50c1,212$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6068641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed 76ers50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004057.5%23 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked 76ers49c1,111$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68d…e039backed Knicks51c1,075$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5481040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed Knicks50c1,067$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.6211250%56 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Knicks51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0b…bfc2backed 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Knicks46c1,000$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45513128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked 76ers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Knicks43c999.98$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.996352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked 76ers51c956.86$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks25c931$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.371,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…0927backed Knicks51c892.16$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4552955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed 76ers50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Knicks51c606.34$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.235637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed 76ers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed 76ers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Knicks50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Knicks51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Knicks7c516.51$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.369046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked 76ers50c506$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2533432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked 76ers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25011452.6%60 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed 76ers50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed 76ers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2551520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Knicks51c493$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.437452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed 76ers50c490.48$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.242944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Knicks48c440$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Knicks51c421.57$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21528448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked 76ers51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked 76ers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Knicks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Knicks51c385.45$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5814155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks50c379.99$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked 76ers50c376.2$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.14540%18 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked 76ers50c374$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18712048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Knicks25c369.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers50c364$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1826,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.