TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,454

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,229 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1733…dc80backed Yes55c569.58$313 inWon+$257.0419741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No45c545.7$245 inLost-$245.171,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No47c299.99$141 inLost-$140.9956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5b…292bbacked No51c227.59$117 inLost-$116.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes47c209.44$98 inWon+$11184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No44c201.97$89 inLost-$89.176247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Yes53c200$106 inWon+$9417148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Yes55c145.02$80 inWon+$65.539265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No43c103.91$45 inLost-$44.7685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes55c100.22$55 inWon+$45.226547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes57c95.32$54 inWon+$41.3210246.1%47 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Yes57c88.3$50 inWon+$38.38851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes58c84.48$49 inWon+$35.4821642.1%91 W · 125 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No47c62.2$29 inLost-$29.1926755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed No53c56.74$30 inLost-$3011648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5345…666abacked Yes53c50.05$26 inWon+$23.656942%29 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No42c49.99$21 inLost-$20.9912642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes51c49.02$25 inWon+$24.0266046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b0a8backed Yes56c44.75$25 inWon+$19.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+69.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No45c43.88$20 inLost-$19.5433049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No47c43.75$21 inLost-$20.561,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked No53c38.06$20 inLost-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes51c31.37$16 inWon+$15.379046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab5b…9b70backed Yes57c23.81$13 inWon+$10.313935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No48c23.54$11 inLost-$11.2833356.2%187 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked No53c19.05$10 inLost-$10.0521056.7%119 W · 91 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.