TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,877

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under52c45,515$23,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,847.3415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over48c40,000$19,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,349.9534456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under51c17,868$9,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,755.125655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over52c10,658$5,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,54219359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c9,350$4,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c8,040$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.459646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under50c7,816$3,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.0814946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c7,803$3,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.3448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Over49c6,616$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,88032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under50c5,648$2,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,82414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under50c4,894$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.895345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c4,618$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,180.881,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c3,900$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,625.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Over46c3,423$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.762944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c3,296$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.5969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under26c3,280$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.5652951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9769149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c49…03d0backed Under50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4501060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under52c2,591$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.0365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9de…7310backed Under50c2,163$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under48c1,853$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.914946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over1c1,831$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1511136%40 W · 71 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over45c1,795$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.963636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Under50c1,760$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under17c1,733$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Under50c1,726$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.941338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,721$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.471,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Under50c1,570$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7851457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Under56c1,504$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.616261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under54c1,464$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.4118844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,456$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.5216946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c1,320$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c1,302$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.021,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7630…bf84backed Over47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,242$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.8955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Under53c1,233$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.51540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.9933945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc246…563cbacked Over50c1,000$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.38per pick45cpaid-82.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over50c999.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c858.27$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.6162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c663.98$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6319745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over46c657.55$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.471,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under49c656.88$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0129243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over52c638.83$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7216642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c627.97$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.541,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c606.12$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1221147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over47c573.62$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over46c534.78$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2466233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over46c522.13$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.181656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3424…8b87backed Over53c476.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c455$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x72d2…3cf0backed Over50c428.62$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.311816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-69.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d56…9ad8backed Under50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399f…e8d8backed Over51c402.21$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over49c399.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.986048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Under50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Under50c355.2$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.64841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over51c350$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c347.39$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.621,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over49c317.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9915543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a64…3c0abacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504961.2%30 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c282.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.472,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over49c268$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3217747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de1…8f45backed Over74c254.12$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.351353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.54738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c231$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5245251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over51c212$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under48c210$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.621640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3313956.1%78 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under54c207.41$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.412454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over50c207.24$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6289048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under50c200.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.255343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x714e…beeebacked Over50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcc…13c3backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695151%26 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6922942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.