TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,349 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1420…9daabacked Knicks50c1,600$800 inLost-$8008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked 76ers50c1,600$800 inWon+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Knicks51c1,497$764 inLost-$763.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers49c1,082$530 inWon+$552.322,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers49c783.35$384 inWon+$399.512,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 76ers49c327.53$160 inWon+$167.0435049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Knicks51c319.96$163 inLost-$163.1816147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed 76ers52c292.83$152 inWon+$140.565058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…8d65backed Knicks51c254.9$130 inLost-$1302152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks48c234.31$112 inLost-$112.4769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Knicks52c48.08$25 inLost-$2521843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b6…ef54backed Knicks51c39.22$20 inLost-$203351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Knicks51c29.41$15 inLost-$156259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks49c25.61$13 inLost-$12.551,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.