TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$424,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$508,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Under51c90,958$46,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,788.8669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over52c55,000$28,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,349.8834456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,5002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Over49c30,200$14,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,798.234951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under50c27,081$13,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,552.8115545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c24,354$11,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,546.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c12,000$6,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,42089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over65c10,566$6,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,854.3910239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c10,150$5,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,07549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c7,897$3,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,858.9664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2503342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c5,543$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,901.2155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under51c5,500$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under28c5,105$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6005655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over47c4,590$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,157.2521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over80c4,319$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.841,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c4,183$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.9832846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over48c4,168$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.6417055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1747856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under50c3,963$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.9365045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c3,800$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,86218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…a590backed Under47c3,502$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c3,266$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.251,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc413…957ebacked Over53c3,243$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,718.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f7…cd43backed Under47c3,159$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over48c2,750$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede7…e982backed Over53c2,678$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa51…264dbacked Over53c2,639$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37cc…e83abacked Under47c2,580$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under51c2,497$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.3666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63db…41febacked Over53c2,496$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.7430%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over6c2,372$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.0131222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c95…f17dbacked Under47c2,358$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over76c2,281$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.7611757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c2,214$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c2,212$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0344…3fc4backed Over53c2,126$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4f…e347backed Over53c2,094$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Over49c2,022$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.551533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9602842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9809540%38 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over50c1,971$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.452,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under48c1,917$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.673641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf5f…6286backed Under47c1,862$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.65560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1227…4f9fbacked Under47c1,815$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90125657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over48c1,486$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.3243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under47c1,390$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.6816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over67c1,337$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.9534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c1,329$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.061,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over49c1,184$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58028838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under53c1,140$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under52c1,100$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52845146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c1,100$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Over52c1,070$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over49c1,059$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.571,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c981.39$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8815543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2047…9240backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over52c870$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over47c819.15$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3856448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6dc…12ecbacked Under32c799.97$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.983148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c794.54$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c721.76$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.442,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under48c707.48$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.898354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under51c674.43$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.471,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under46c641.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c624.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.151,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Under17c602.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.422165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29418743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under48c591$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62b6…5de0backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Over52c549.88$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.616048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over49c547.77$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over48c521.17$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.1618650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over63c513.65$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.7345445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c499.98$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over49c471.82$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.193348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over56c461$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c450.01$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.491,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.674946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecb…03fbbacked Over49c402.9$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Over49c367.35$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under36c367.08$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.233,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under48c364.58$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5812540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd64e…4fb2backed Over76c313.17$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.71540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick74cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c306.12$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1821147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over49c299.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9925559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ec…0f12backed Over53c290.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+100.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over59c287$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1731345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Over76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over52c240.56$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.094146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Over42c237$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.784734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c236.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.31,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5fe…c03dbacked Over55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.