TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
76ersof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked 76ers45c3,000$1,365 inWon+$1,634.9750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Knicks55c1,255$690 inLost-$690.3437755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3af…aca1backed Knicks54c925.93$500 inLost-$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks55c150$82 inLost-$82.262,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 76ers37c144.81$54 inWon+$91.2335049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Knicks54c140.74$76 inLost-$765151%26 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Knicks54c101.85$55 inLost-$5540541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked Knicks54c100$54 inLost-$5411766.7%78 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Knicks55c90.91$50 inLost-$5014844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Knicks63c79.37$50 inLost-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a86…7ed7backed Knicks54c64.81$35 inLost-$352454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Knicks54c55.56$30 inLost-$3011645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Knicks54c37.04$20 inLost-$2040853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e89…2fc6backed Knicks54c37.04$20 inLost-$209548.4%46 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Knicks63c31.75$20 inLost-$2022844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Knicks55c28.09$15 inLost-$15.4555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…6555backed Knicks63c27.35$17 inLost-$17.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.