Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a49b1196d745b58349352ab128a9c8c8f3613526cf5de8840fc0ed6c171df45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Marinoof Azerbaijan, San Marino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Marino | 57c | 2,064$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.86 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Marino | 38c | 1,561$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.72 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Azerbaijan | 44c | 736.96$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.9 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Azerbaijan | 63c | 633.56$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.07 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Azerbaijan | 38c | 541.52$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Azerbaijan | 40c | 532.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.23 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked San Marino | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked San Marino | 58c | 435.32$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed San Marino | 69c | 427.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked San Marino | 42c | 406.45$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.5 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Azerbaijan | 61c | 369.63$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Azerbaijan | 61c | 359.51$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Azerbaijan | 49c | 328.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Azerbaijan | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Azerbaijan | 37c | 264.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Azerbaijan | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Azerbaijan | 63c | 196.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Azerbaijan | 30c | 190.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Azerbaijan | 55c | 170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed San Marino | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Azerbaijan | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Azerbaijan | 37c | 110.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Azerbaijan | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Azerbaijan | 58c | 101.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Azerbaijan | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Azerbaijan | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Marino | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Azerbaijan | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Azerbaijan | 64c | 77.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Marino | 45c | 75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Azerbaijan | 52c | 62.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Azerbaijan | 36c | 61.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed San Marino | 39c | 52.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…2402backed Azerbaijan | 61c | 49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked San Marino | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…fa11backed San Marino | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed San Marino | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Azerbaijan | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…8b5cbacked Azerbaijan | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Azerbaijan | 62c | 31.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Azerbaijan | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed San Marino | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446d…a0b2backed Azerbaijan | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1f…7b4bbacked Azerbaijan | 63c | 29.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked Azerbaijan | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Azerbaijan | 55c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed San Marino | 63c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Azerbaijan | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Azerbaijan | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed San Marino | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed San Marino | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Azerbaijan | 60c | 21.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked San Marino | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Azerbaijan | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Azerbaijan | 63c | 16.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)this page
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 0.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Azerbaijan won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Azerbaijan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.