Fifa International · resolved market
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x438dac6c14e0715ded419cf19ceac92005e4691dfe51a3718d7ab1f848a0b71f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e71…e570backed No | 70c | 2,965$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 2,668$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 71c | 1,901$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 1,894$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.42 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 66c | 1,310$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.6 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,158$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.17 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdc…25d5backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 69c | 331.07$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.65 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 70c | 249.21$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.45 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 29c | 174.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 9c | 137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 131.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 65c | 86.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked No | 65c | 77.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 33c | 72.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 66c | 63.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 49.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 31c | 48.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed No | 65c | 44.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 66c | 44.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Yes | 34c | 43.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 65c | 38.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 35c | 33.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed No | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 35c | 29.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 0.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Azerbaijan won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Azerbaijan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.