TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Under53c6,624$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.1620262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c5,099$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over35c2,351$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.2859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over42c1,785$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7504447.7%21 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over46c1,623$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.6745421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,535$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.914,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under40c1,254$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.772740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c1,023$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c939.59$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under65c918.73$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.562,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over38c776.97$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9443826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over37c744.87$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.963,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c709.07$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.223,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over35c699.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x048b…f503backed Over75c658.52$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under65c631.83$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9776551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c12…ef65backed Under67c622.57$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under33c613.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8938819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22222041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c540.64$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.584,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Over66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b24…6a9cbacked Under45c480.8$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.4413145%59 W · 72 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under67c445.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5416153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under66c445.02$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21212559.2%74 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over60c395.37$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23639752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over41c386.7$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15719746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under61c378.46$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.661750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under69c336.13$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under61c319.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.713759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over55c299.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.414146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under48c299.81$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.913548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Over43c285$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6314323.8%34 W · 109 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0435…a10ebacked Under22c273.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.11625%4 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over22c268.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.912,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd1f…f0d8backed Under49c265.31$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.319064.4%58 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Over12c264.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12544%11 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Over45c262.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.053221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under51c254.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4321240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under55c243.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c237.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.341,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Over72c237$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.691118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0bdf…e663backed Over76c236.84$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b99…8f62backed Over34c220.59$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519047.4%90 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.776747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over69c173.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over55c172.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9516547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under67c171.33$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Under57c153.72$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under64c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under67c130.12$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5784751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011965.5%78 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over55c121.02$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5638439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812250%61 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over20c97.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over78c96.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7525455.9%142 W · 112 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Under39c95$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3522052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under64c92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Under23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9636038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Under46c85.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2510857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Under64c80$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c70.56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.891,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Over32c62.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over49c61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.896355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under65c59.16$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under26c58.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2115059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182a…fc6ebacked Under18c56.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over24c53.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9823743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773e…7502backed Over39c50.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.842236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716863.1%106 W · 62 L+0.8wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under54c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2331553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over55c49.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2729636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under61c47.26$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.436167.2%41 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…3755backed Under48c46.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over46c46.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.541,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under68c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.424257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…fcabbacked Under66c41.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-74.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf13…3366backed Over44c34.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.185648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over50c31.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1615543.9%68 W · 87 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over54c29.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Under70c28.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6110068%68 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under62c26.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1312252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ef…8b93backed Under48c25.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ab3…08cdbacked Over52c20.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb556…b5e5backed Over60c19.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.797236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5218…7fc9backed Over62c18.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.422853.6%15 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Under55c18.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.197354.8%40 W · 33 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Under66c17.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1127058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over67c15.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4326047.3%123 W · 137 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.