Fifa International · resolved market
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaac1d8e6d00253149b649a81e965346ed90bbc5a4b52d3c6cbb762b4bdeb0c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 44c | 5,740$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.68 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 58c | 3,790$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.24 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 46c | 2,582$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.7 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 1,905$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 1,845$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.29 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 46c | 1,306$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 56c | 1,253$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.45 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 945.02$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 24c | 788.92$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 725.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.07 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 53c | 638.44$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.04 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 53c | 569.81$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 535.58$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.58 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 533.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.74 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 53c | 442.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 60c | 429.7$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.88 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 53c | 425$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.75 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 54c | 362.22$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Under | 14c | 322.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 45c | 293.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.72 | 143 | 23.8%34 W · 109 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 54c | 258.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 62c | 240.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 55c | 210.11$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Under | 39c | 200.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…eac6backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 61c | 172.93$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 167.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 162.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Over | 54c | 154.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Under | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 55c | 145.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 56c | 112.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 112.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 112.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 55c | 111.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 99.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 56c | 71.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…2777backed Under | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 60c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Over | 54c | 55.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Over | 58c | 49.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 55c | 42.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 332 | 45.5%151 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 57c | 35.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…3fcabacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 56c | 28.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…ae98backed Over | 68c | 26.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 53c | 22.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 61c | 21.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 55c | 19.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 2.5this page
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 0.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 1.5Over won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 3.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5)San Marino won
- Spread: Azerbaijan (-2.5)San Marino won
- Spread: San Marino (-1.5)Azerbaijan won
- Spread: San Marino (-2.5)Azerbaijan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.