TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,794

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c3,785$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.3889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c3,605$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.222,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over29c1,837$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.863345.5%15 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Over41c1,738$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.288345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8590…07adbacked Under69c1,158$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over37c1,157$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.457236.1%26 W · 46 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over42c1,066$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.8612357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over45c977.86$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.88469%58 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under56c954.28$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.0435551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under61c565.71$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.397642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over44c560.38$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.527659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over31c510.69$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.471,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Under56c453.41$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.914447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over30c406.09$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.587047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under71c385.52$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0712859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under78c384$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8626657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over33c345.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8511933.6%40 W · 79 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under59c343.16$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6941050.7%208 W · 202 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf87b…5294backed Under75c341.35$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.431060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Under30c337.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over70c293.85$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1511949.6%59 W · 60 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under71c293.38$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.041,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Under71c282.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.817442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over25c279.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9933554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over27c266.15$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.059321.5%20 W · 73 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under66c262.46$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.511,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under67c259.2$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c245.84$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.314254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over35c238.46$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.955653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over40c237.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.85151%26 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Under74c237.62$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.842744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07ea…aab9backed Under74c230.42$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.512055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under72c204.47$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.1350251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdddd…6777backed Under74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under69c200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13760449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over32c191.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.943,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under63c182.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3721355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under60c178.5$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1861848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over43c159.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.123828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-30.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under61c153$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.638447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over43c151.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3914045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…40fcbacked Under47c150.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Over47c144.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.431833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.861030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Under66c137.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8513442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under61c124.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6134547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over39c122.17$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.242948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Under63c120$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.23141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed Over27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over30c118.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under65c111.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9792049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under64c104.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7749851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c101.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d8…49a3backed Under75c100.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322250.5%112 W · 110 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under60c99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over38c96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8228652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Under58c93.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.384168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under67c90.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5916443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Over22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.914134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under59c84.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7551343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under63c80.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6512045.8%55 W · 65 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over39c78.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6729533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Over73c78.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.023655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over45c67.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3110166.3%67 W · 34 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under54c67.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.646656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551a…b3dcbacked Under64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under69c61.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.291,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Under70c59.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…a5bbbacked Under67c59.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under27c59.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2124837.9%94 W · 154 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over32c56.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.256550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under65c55.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1117248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.561957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over20c52.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.052454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under60c50.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over22c50.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.074252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Over43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.545069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Over27c49.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over36c49$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under58c44.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.733363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd00d…9817backed Under68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Over38c44.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.344151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf3…0778backed Under75c40.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under44c38.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.963366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa497…7891backed Under61c38.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.272853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…377bbacked Under74c37.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed Over40c37.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd6…3beebacked Under75c35.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.45366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Under51c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.283568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe583…95ebbacked Under73c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.092680.8%21 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over40c30.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under50c28.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3614549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Under74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over55c26.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.098964%57 W · 32 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Under66c25.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.031850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bcf…c678backed Over42c25.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.022560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under67c25.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8114855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.