NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e4c846fd775dc6c97eceac09f6cd1e68a014394bc0a66fca5177d231238136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 80c | 3,200$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.12 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 40c | 1,496$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 60c | 1,135$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.99 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Under | 42c | 1,000$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 930$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 17c | 757.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 14c | 628$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 77c | 580.65$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 17c | 522.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.33 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 21c | 517$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 68c | 490$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 17c | 456$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 20c | 364.12$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 93 | 21.5%20 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 21c | 323.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 30c | 298.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 17c | 291.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 16c | 290$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 278.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 27c | 225$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 60c | 201.67$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 17c | 199.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 16c | 197.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 63c | 190.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 74c | 180.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 178.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 40c | 177.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 23c | 167.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 13c | 160.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 32c | 148.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 136.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 73c | 125.19$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 27c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 60c | 106.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 60c | 104.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…d318backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Over | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 15c | 78.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 24c | 72.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Under | 29c | 48.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 74c | 39.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 56c | 37.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 60c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c78…e701backed Under | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 78c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Over | 72c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…3107backed Over | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 5.5this page
- Golden Knights vs. DucksGolden Knights won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.