NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67b3446fe7edab49d97f91e8c0b222414bc7b4957f3bae3541c963bdc3fb676e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Kings, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe48…8c4bbacked Canucks | 63c | 4,843$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 36c | 2,759$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.38 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Kings | 38c | 1,997$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.89 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Kings | 38c | 1,912$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.81 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Kings | 36c | 1,267$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Kings | 36c | 1,001$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Canucks | 64c | 917.25$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Kings | 37c | 865.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.41 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Kings | 36c | 835.14$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kings | 37c | 680.04$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.31 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canucks | 64c | 641.92$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 77c | 467.4$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kings | 36c | 439.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Kings | 32c | 290.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Kings | 31c | 276.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kings | 36c | 246$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 69c | 226.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings | 36c | 221.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Kings | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Kings | 18c | 171.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Canucks | 76c | 164.09$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kings | 38c | 156.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Canucks | 62c | 152.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Canucks | 62c | 149.16$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Canucks | 62c | 126.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Canucks | 47c | 122.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Kings | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Canucks | 64c | 103.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 21c | 103.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 74c | 98.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 27c | 97.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Kings | 20c | 91.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Canucks | 61c | 86.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Kings | 36c | 85.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Canucks | 64c | 76.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Kings | 38c | 73.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 67c | 69.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 63c | 67.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Canucks | 63c | 65.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Canucks | 64c | 63.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Canucks | 62c | 63.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 70c | 56.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Canucks | 63c | 54.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 63c | 54.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 76c | 52.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Kings | 28c | 51.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 40c | 50.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Canucks | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Kings | 37c | 44.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Kings | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…377bbacked Kings | 37c | 37.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Canucks | 64c | 34.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Kings | 37c | 32.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 64c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Canucks | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canucks | 64c | 21.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Canucks | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Canucks | 62c | 19.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Kings | 55c | 19.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Kings | 55c | 19.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.