NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273db3d210585ef2f3cfe510ad0a6e6e5554018fb279079c33bb9bcb3138bab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 22c | 1,150$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 77c | 497$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 79c | 383$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 379.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.13 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 274.13$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.84 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 38c | 207.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Under | 79c | 127.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 80c | 126.37$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 34c | 118.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 73c | 73.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabec…9f99backed Under | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 40.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 80c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 80c | 24.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 43c | 23.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…3083backed Under | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 75c | 19.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 72c | 18.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 74c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4995…62bfbacked Under | 76c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…c0e0backed Under | 76c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5this page
- Kings vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.