NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8c05927572598d4280c019e5fe3c15d85aabcd7d65382a6a3659d537c01af64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Under | 56c | 4,319$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 44c | 4,235$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.38 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Under | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 56c | 3,445$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.26 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Over | 44c | 1,486$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 44c | 1,161$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.16 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Under | 56c | 1,010$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 795.65$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.74 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…76b4backed Under | 52c | 795.65$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.74 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 650.08$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Over | 49c | 614.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 61c | 492.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 6c | 435$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 44c | 434.15$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Under | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 367.72$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 10c | 301.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Under | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 56c | 235$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 44c | 205.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 50c | 187.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…bc46backed Under | 53c | 134.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…5136backed Under | 57c | 104.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2469…4117backed Over | 45c | 94.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 93.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dd…cdaebacked Under | 56c | 91.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 44c | 84.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 44c | 76.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 55c | 72.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Under | 56c | 67.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 56c | 63.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 57.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 67c | 53.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…bdf7backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…b579backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 44c | 39.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 56c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 44c | 26.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 75c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.