NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c61ed2b40559dbb6c048c41f0ff9ae9bf62e7f3e524d6f6866738dd40a039c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Norway, Latvia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Norway | 52c | 15,651$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.61 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Norway | 54c | 10,033$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,633.9 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Norway | 52c | 9,953$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.6 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Latvia | 48c | 9,754$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.28 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Latvia | 48c | 9,685$4,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,602.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Norway | 53c | 8,625$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.77 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Latvia | 47c | 8,277$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.15 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Latvia | 47c | 3,317$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ae…97ccbacked Norway | 53c | 2,323$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Latvia | 48c | 1,916$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.66 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Latvia | 48c | 1,879$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Latvia | 46c | 1,786$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Latvia | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Norway | 53c | 1,485$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Latvia | 41c | 1,240$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Latvia | 46c | 1,188$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Latvia | 47c | 1,052$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.44 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Latvia | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Latvia | 44c | 910$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Norway | 59c | 904.25$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Latvia | 46c | 867.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Norway | 53c | 862.15$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.21 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Latvia | 48c | 811.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Latvia | 48c | 718.54$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Norway | 53c | 659.19$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.19 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…80b7backed Norway | 53c | 640.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Latvia | 34c | 621.53$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Norway | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca9…e7aebacked Latvia | 34c | 580.36$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…b7c9backed Norway | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…044cbacked Norway | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Latvia | 47c | 504.51$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Latvia | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Latvia | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…a790backed Norway | 71c | 496.47$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed Norway | 54c | 456.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…dd81backed Latvia | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Latvia | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e87…7e40backed Norway | 53c | 416.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Latvia | 48c | 403.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Norway | 53c | 368.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Latvia | 35c | 365.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Norway | 53c | 350.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Latvia | 47c | 340.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Latvia | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Norway | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.19 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9fe1backed Latvia | 44c | 310.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Latvia | 47c | 300.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Latvia | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…6c8abacked Latvia | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…7419backed Norway | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Norway | 53c | 283.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Norway | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Latvia | 45c | 248.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…4a4cbacked Latvia | 48c | 241.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Latvia | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Latvia | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Latvia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fa…5640backed Latvia | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…b008backed Norway | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd755…d794backed Latvia | 47c | 206.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked Norway | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Latvia | 45c | 177.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Norway | 53c | 174.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Latvia | 48c | 153.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Norway | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…cd75backed Latvia | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…fadcbacked Latvia | 38c | 147.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3439…1196backed Norway | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…600cbacked Latvia | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Norway | 54c | 135.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Norway | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Latvia | 47c | 128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…a5f0backed Latvia | 39c | 125.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Latvia | 47c | 124.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Latvia | 26c | 123.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway | 80c | 121$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…eb6ebacked Latvia | 38c | 113.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Norway | 80c | 112.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4349…eb9dbacked Latvia | 48c | 110.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Latvia | 46c | 108.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…95abbacked Latvia | 48c | 107.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Latvia | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked Latvia | 47c | 105.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Latvia | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…b676backed Latvia | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Latvia | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Latvia | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa59e…73cabacked Norway | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…5a47backed Latvia | 42c | 95.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Norway | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Norway | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…36cfbacked Norway | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…f9e8backed Latvia | 48c | 88.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Norway | 53c | 78.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…be6fbacked Norway | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Latvia | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…a0bfbacked Latvia | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…9703backed Norway | 77c | 71.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…eb6dbacked Latvia | 35c | 71.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.