TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72e0…789d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 61 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7058.6%41 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+316.9%+$158.47
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+460.5%+$230.27
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$12.65
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Alexander Shevchenko vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$21.02
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFire: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Norway vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Leganés vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$64.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$26.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$9.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.