Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81cd461773f4dec9af48acb59295c40e2a984b5b40e226b5c30f63f0ce294470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Over | 29c | 12,789$3,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.73 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.97 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Under | 70c | 1,558$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Under | 71c | 1,374$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.4 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 70c | 1,261$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Over | 29c | 1,216$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 28c | 1,184$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.47 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 72c | 1,043$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 987.64$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.42 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 30c | 883.33$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…9323backed Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 306.08$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 21c | 282.66$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 71c | 239.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 71c | 209$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 71c | 198.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Over | 30c | 193.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 71c | 184.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 71c | 174.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 70c | 154.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 72c | 147.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…6b86backed Over | 29c | 115.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under | 77c | 103.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 19c | 100.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 19c | 98.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 30c | 87.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 71c | 81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 70c | 73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…2548backed Over | 29c | 63.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 29c | 60.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f9…cc6abacked Under | 71c | 54.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7a7bbacked Over | 29c | 54.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked Under | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Under | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470b…f050backed Under | 71c | 31.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 71c | 28.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…d3d6backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 134 | 62.7%84 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed Under | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…bedabacked Under | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Under | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Under | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38be…5b1abacked Under | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b06…99c9backed Under | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.