Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53261beaa599ff83ad9b63c23439845677dc98124ee491ba3569ad705b52da07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.98 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 43c | 6,205$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 58c | 2,623$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…ca21backed Over | 43c | 2,029$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 43c | 1,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.88 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Over | 42c | 640.36$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.95 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 42c | 580$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 42c | 421.12$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 43c | 393.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Over | 43c | 342.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 45c | 256.77$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Over | 42c | 252.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Over | 42c | 188.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Over | 42c | 188.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…b96ebacked Over | 43c | 121.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 46c | 84.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 42c | 58.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Under | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 59c | 26.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…01bdbacked Under | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.