TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, HANJIN BRION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$565,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$674,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked HANJIN BRION17c68,363$11,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,671.6196048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…6b59backed HANJIN BRION1c45,217$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.9616511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed HANJIN BRION0c44,972$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.977869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed HANJIN BRION11c43,447$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.741,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed HANJIN BRION13c23,036$2,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.6251146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed HANJIN BRION18c20,000$3,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,596.8959450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed HANJIN BRION16c6,067$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.681,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed HANJIN BRION1c5,555$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked HANJIN BRION16c5,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030945.3%140 W · 169 L+1.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed HANJIN BRION15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75030845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked HANJIN BRION10c4,712$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.951,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed HANJIN BRION15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9955639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed HANJIN BRION8c3,768$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8876142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HANJIN BRION8c3,765$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6595041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked HANJIN BRION14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed HANJIN BRION18c3,063$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.3914247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked HANJIN BRION14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed HANJIN BRION20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008045%36 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Gen.G80c2,437$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.3720454.9%112 W · 92 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c39…36c6backed HANJIN BRION1c2,300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712119.8%24 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed HANJIN BRION6c2,067$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11721622.7%49 W · 167 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked HANJIN BRION1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed HANJIN BRION1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed HANJIN BRION17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…555ebacked HANJIN BRION3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017354.3%94 W · 79 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed HANJIN BRION11c1,800$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19175738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed HANJIN BRION19c1,696$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.153540%14 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked HANJIN BRION11c1,548$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.351,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked HANJIN BRION4c1,523$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.911,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Gen.G80c1,497$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.411,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked HANJIN BRION16c1,406$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2256432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked HANJIN BRION5c1,362$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0845937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HANJIN BRION14c1,350$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.182,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked HANJIN BRION4c1,293$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7213433.6%45 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed HANJIN BRION5c1,261$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.682,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked HANJIN BRION14c1,200$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked HANJIN BRION15c1,167$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17590337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed HANJIN BRION2c1,100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.451,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked HANJIN BRION19c1,064$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.165451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa884…46a8backed HANJIN BRION19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HANJIN BRION13c1,025$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.282,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked HANJIN BRION19c1,024$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5814448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed HANJIN BRION3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed HANJIN BRION4c950.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.011,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HANJIN BRION14c944.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.242,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd48…8e98backed HANJIN BRION16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505020%10 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed HANJIN BRION9c900$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…e7c8backed Gen.G80c800.76$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.152948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HANJIN BRION15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Gen.G80c749.55$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.918840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed HANJIN BRION19c736.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed HANJIN BRION16c732.94$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed HANJIN BRION8c727$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.671,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked HANJIN BRION14c714.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19218.5%17 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…34e9backed HANJIN BRION4c705.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2177545%349 W · 426 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed HANJIN BRION20c692.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9216238.9%63 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed HANJIN BRION15c662.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.139420.2%19 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Gen.G80c654.9$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.981,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Gen.G80c639.25$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8545366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed HANJIN BRION17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212446.8%58 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked HANJIN BRION17c587.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa980…30a1backed HANJIN BRION3c582.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4744120%88 W · 353 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a1…f88bbacked Gen.G80c553.55$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7117748%85 W · 92 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed HANJIN BRION19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012441.1%51 W · 73 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed HANJIN BRION16c518.75$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8315829.7%47 W · 111 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b0…9ef4backed HANJIN BRION3c512.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525252.4%132 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Gen.G80c504.28$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2835159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed HANJIN BRION15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755334%18 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2db…a60dbacked HANJIN BRION14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704332.6%14 W · 29 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed HANJIN BRION15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Gen.G80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Gen.G80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked HANJIN BRION2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Gen.G79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10525065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x003b…ace5backed HANJIN BRION15c499.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HANJIN BRION15c499.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed HANJIN BRION13c499.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9935431.1%110 W · 244 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b03…5778backed HANJIN BRION16c490$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc177…7fbbbacked HANJIN BRION10c450.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6516429.9%49 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed HANJIN BRION9c450.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017635.8%63 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed HANJIN BRION9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4047933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed HANJIN BRION9c426.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035223.9%84 W · 268 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed HANJIN BRION4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.653829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed HANJIN BRION15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed HANJIN BRION15c353.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5318348.1%88 W · 95 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked HANJIN BRION4c350$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1460347.9%289 W · 314 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…0bffbacked HANJIN BRION15c349.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.522532.4%73 W · 152 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed HANJIN BRION17c334.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8133254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdcb…b1eabacked HANJIN BRION15c316$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4630548.9%149 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked HANJIN BRION5c315$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…bdebbacked HANJIN BRION9c311.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2820334%69 W · 134 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2c…83afbacked HANJIN BRION4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64202.6%11 W · 409 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-81.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc67e…ed46backed HANJIN BRION5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155242.3%22 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Gen.G80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6036660.1%220 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Gen.G80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6029758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce68…f6b8backed HANJIN BRION15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522324.7%55 W · 168 L-0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a9…0781backed HANJIN BRION7c290.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…72a1backed HANJIN BRION14c285.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.011520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed HANJIN BRION14c285.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed HANJIN BRION8c285$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.815632.7%51 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.