Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f035ddf70404e8efc62796dc27c624666c88cea61e0f3a36d3b45e273934462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Laura Siegemund, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $236,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Laura Siegemund | 16c | 15,642$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Laura Siegemund | 12c | 15,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…bd59backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 12,871$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Laura Siegemund | 16c | 11,911$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Laura Siegemund | 15c | 8,979$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.97 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Laura Siegemund | 11c | 8,789$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.08 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Laura Siegemund | 23c | 4,000$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.14 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Laura Siegemund | 22c | 3,359$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.15 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 3,289$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 3,288$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Laura Siegemund | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Naomi Osaka | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Laura Siegemund | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 2,998$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.64 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Laura Siegemund | 17c | 2,858$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.81 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 2,630$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.01 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Laura Siegemund | 18c | 2,066$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…7c31backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 1,925$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Laura Siegemund | 14c | 1,864$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.83 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 1,819$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Laura Siegemund | 17c | 1,710$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Laura Siegemund | 15c | 1,404$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Laura Siegemund | 12c | 1,373$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 1,315$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.63 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 1,271$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.35 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Laura Siegemund | 21c | 1,255$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Laura Siegemund | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Laura Siegemund | 24c | 1,202$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 1,041$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.66 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 1,032$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.3 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Laura Siegemund | 16c | 1,016$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.94 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Laura Siegemund | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 993.1$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Laura Siegemund | 16c | 975.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Laura Siegemund | 5c | 927.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Laura Siegemund | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Laura Siegemund | 24c | 810.69$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Laura Siegemund | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…54edbacked Laura Siegemund | 26c | 710.08$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +54%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Laura Siegemund | 12c | 680.36$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.63 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 654.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Laura Siegemund | 21c | 650.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 635.81$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 633.83$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Naomi Osaka | 79c | 633.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.39 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Laura Siegemund | 16c | 626.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 597.44$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 570.14$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.42 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 529.56$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 526.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Laura Siegemund | 24c | 513.25$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Laura Siegemund | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Laura Siegemund | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Laura Siegemund | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 491.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Laura Siegemund | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Laura Siegemund | 22c | 422.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ac2cbacked Laura Siegemund | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Laura Siegemund | 12c | 356.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Laura Siegemund | 20c | 354.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Laura Siegemund | 18c | 350.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Laura Siegemund | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Laura Siegemund | 22c | 297$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Laura Siegemund | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laura Siegemund | 17c | 280.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 265$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Laura Siegemund | 17c | 262.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4349backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 250.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Naomi Osaka | 78c | 250$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 236.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 235.83$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Laura Siegemund | 28c | 210.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…4168backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 210.61$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.61 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…7127backed Laura Siegemund | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 209.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Laura Siegemund | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…789dbacked Laura Siegemund | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Laura Siegemund | 15c | 207.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 204.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 203.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…90d0backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 199$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd82…5da7backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 196.21$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Laura Siegemund | 24c | 188.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 185.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…08e8backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 176.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 172.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Laura Siegemund | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 157.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…1cd5backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 151.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Naomi Osaka | 74c | 150.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Laura Siegemund | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 139.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.13 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 131.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed Laura Siegemund | 18c | 130.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Laura Siegemund | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Siegemund vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Siegemund (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.