TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1b62…4349

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$88.03
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$129.99
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$50.16
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Dabrowski/Stefani vs Eikeri/Gleasonbacked Dabrowski/Stefani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$37.59
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Lois Boissonbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$80.41
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$24.91
Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$32.12
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs James McCabebacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$27.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$34.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigurbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basilebacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.44
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$31.76
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+382.1%+$92.28
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31%+$107.26
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.07
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 17 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$10.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.22
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.49
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.