TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1225…2ebf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.86
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.61
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$97.87
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$25.11
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31%+$25.03
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$12.92
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$7.13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$29.53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$21.61
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$21.65
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.78
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$21.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$5.86
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$30.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.79
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$7.28
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.28
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$121
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.89
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,235.54
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$369
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650.2
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$322.36
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$91
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$175.38
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$255
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$60.95
Roland Garros WTA: Hanyu Guo vs McCartney Kesslerbacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Zakharova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+74%+$177.16
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$168
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Geneva Open: Alex Michelsen vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,491.07
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$159.1
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$674.1
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.66
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.82
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.4
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$78
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$81
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.5
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$66.46
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$924.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$144.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.