Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc508ef42f3090e79abe488cb62e8594fe962c5396b06e1c16db1ae6a1f3e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 5,284$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.57 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 58c | 5,000$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.91 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 8c | 3,114$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.7 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No | 36c | 1,982$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +208.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 1,907$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.95 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 59c | 1,734$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.11 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 51c | 1,676$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.88 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 1,535$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.46 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 1,441$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.7 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,414$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 54c | 1,298$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.84 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 59c | 1,249$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.07 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 73c | 1,229$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.04 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 57c | 1,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 73c | 959.51$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 36c | 952.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.17 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 806.15$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 747.88$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.19 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 68c | 704.22$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 55c | 682.48$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 665.53$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.15 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 659.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.26 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 73c | 648.79$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 57c | 615.58$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 57c | 524.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.85 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 41c | 473.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 470.94$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 38c | 431.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.22 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 3c | 388.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 56c | 376.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 31c | 362.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 67c | 360.12$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 40c | 357.75$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 42c | 332.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 330.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.95 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Yes | 42c | 324$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Yes | 67c | 296.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 58c | 279$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 69c | 271.05$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 57c | 254.81$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.57 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Yes | 57c | 227.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 71c | 200$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 42c | 197.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 43c | 190.16$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 43c | 189.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 54c | 170.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 30c | 169.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 58c | 136.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 135.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…721ebacked Yes | 74c | 134.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Yes | 45c | 133$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 39c | 128.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 41c | 128$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 42c | 117.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…3f87backed Yes | 43c | 111.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed No | 60c | 111.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yes | 41c | 109.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 66c | 107.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 31c | 106.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 55c | 106$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 49c | 97.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…f413backed Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed Yes | 43c | 92.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 68c | 88.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 58c | 84.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 83.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 50c | 75.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 43c | 71.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 37c | 67.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 43c | 66.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 61c | 60.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…b8edbacked Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 61c | 58.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 42c | 58.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 42c | 57.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 51c | 50.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 34c | 49.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 43c | 48.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 52c | 47.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.