TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60d3…721e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.61
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$13.35
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Prospect · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$23.97
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$20.13
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs FURY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group Abacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.67
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$37.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Titans vs. 49ersbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.