Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ca28579f674a3c2bd2be553543de264c961fa5fa8394541127864d2d3c1cae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 17c | 2,455$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 859.21$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.38 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 67c | 577.94$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 33c | 572.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 49c | 400$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.42 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 276.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 56c | 237.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 221.09$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 221.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 76c | 214.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 76c | 209.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 24c | 193.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 53c | 187.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 22c | 181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 56c | 178$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 47c | 159.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 74c | 157.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 150.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…721ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…a427backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 27c | 136.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 71c | 102.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 90.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 79c | 87.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 37c | 62.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 72c | 60.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 55.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…5329backed Yes | 26c | 50.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 50c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 44.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…00f4backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 75c | 24.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 17.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 76c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.