Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7d6db884a2890e84884f2287596c05b16a7f3198149e286c8ad699f666f6fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 50c | 153,220$76,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,087.42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 50c | 44,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 48c | 35,524$17,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,182.72 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 51c | 24,552$12,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,026.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 48c | 24,036$11,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,537.28 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 51c | 17,500$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 52c | 15,632$8,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,574.02 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 50c | 13,241$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.72 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 5,406$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 2,315$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 51c | 1,932$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.7 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 11c | 1,678$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.56 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 1,568$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 51c | 1,493$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.57 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 22c | 1,340$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.47 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 52c | 1,239$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.49 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,227$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 1,105$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 1,101$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.49 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 51c | 1,093$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 1,010$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.24 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 36c | 1,006$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.03 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 50c | 976$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 51c | 801.54$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.47 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 52c | 797.82$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 734.26$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.13 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 62c | 728.01$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 79c | 596.44$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 50c | 498.39$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 7c | 387.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 29c | 325.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 308.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 19c | 268.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 50c | 257.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.55 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 74c | 241.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 24c | 223.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked No | 51c | 223$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 11c | 201.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 144 | 59.7%86 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 63c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 26c | 192.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…5380backed Yes | 49c | 164.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…5d16backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 52c | 159.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 27c | 157$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 50c | 156$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 51c | 155.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…735ebacked Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 7c | 144.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 19c | 134.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 126.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 37c | 121$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 61c | 99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed No | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 22c | 92.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 76c | 84.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 49c | 77.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 52c | 77.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 49c | 76.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 51c | 72.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 26c | 66.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 51c | 62.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 27c | 62.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 49c | 61.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 38c | 52.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.