TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,381 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Yes26c9,961$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,340.3417740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No60c7,570$4,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,520.981,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes77c3,453$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.713952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed No6c2,953$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.089726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48014062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No9c1,891$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.917244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No21c1,676$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3508344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c1,574$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.9499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes75c1,487$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.1822269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c1,281$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.23,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No75c1,228$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.8572850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c1,059$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.1570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c1,012$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.1817258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes26c807.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.694136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes69c695.56$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2416437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes25c689.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No21c670.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes57c635.73$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.695752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No9c613.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.821717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes57c611.35$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6417753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No3c563.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+208.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes59c505.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2122946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No10c493.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.46339.7%25 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No62c491.67$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5987154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes52c482.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.84348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c447.64$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.361,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No48c441$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes54c415.92$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1515676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes25c391.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6724326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid-27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No73c372.11$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6423858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3719642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes27c352.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No27c339.22$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.851,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No78c330$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No21c305.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.325850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes45c264.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.0368150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes44c245.24$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8619960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No37c225.32$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.441,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes48c212$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2320660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes17c204.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7913228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.314555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes24c189.92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.342920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes26c183$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.422040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No36c170.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No50c162$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No25c154.1$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.713938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes56c153$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Yes29c149.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.732657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Yes45c145$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c143$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0191553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No27c122.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7410249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No32c119.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.965450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes30c109.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7712551.2%64 W · 61 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c105.81$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.337341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes76c98.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.681942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2668550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No75c89.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.012770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes76c85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.418456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No20c80.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.776232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes53c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3514657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes46c78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1236646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes25c75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2552923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes26c72.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.355954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes60c71.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.816352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No22c69.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.574868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No25c68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes27c65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.452860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa68c…f805backed Yes76c64.51$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5f…c91dbacked Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.13100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes27c62.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.63246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x235d…450bbacked No53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec0f…05f2backed Yes49c59.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes27c59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.076163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed No52c57.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+53%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No68c56.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No49c52.38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8310840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes26c51.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.422334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9292346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c50.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.53148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes76c46.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.185966.1%39 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked Yes66c45.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.391353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No53c43.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0419641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.931,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes76c39.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5712058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2439…3ed7backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes35c38.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.796453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes69c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6510257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No64c37.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.154757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes70c33.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.237256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No79c32.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.012965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed No76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82085%17 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No35c29.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.499660.4%58 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.