Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50b7c28e26ddb582c1bd9a91d7babbe572dc55f12d38b967c300a12c7979b51e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,219,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 697 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 52c | 176,557$91,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,424.29 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 44c | 150,483$66,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,959.75 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 48c | 71,666$34,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,210.08 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora | 45c | 44,516$20,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,033.18 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 35,100$19,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,828.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 30,000$16,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,349.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Liquid | 52c | 28,132$14,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,384.68 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 27,000$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,079.99 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 25,417$13,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,133.6 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Liquid | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 52c | 24,769$12,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,927.8 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 42c | 18,381$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,694.21 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 43c | 17,094$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 53c | 16,635$8,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,738.33 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 15,784$11,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…fbc9backed Aurora | 50c | 14,077$6,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,970 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 33c | 12,766$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.73 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 11,951$9,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.24 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 55c | 11,386$6,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.9 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed Team Liquid | 54c | 11,200$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Aurora | 45c | 11,128$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…050fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Aurora | 47c | 9,572$4,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,531.91 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 50c | 8,954$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.95 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Liquid | 55c | 8,775$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,925.17 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…753abacked Aurora | 76c | 8,000$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.93 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid | 50c | 7,772$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.18 | 189 | 50.8%96 W · 93 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Liquid | 59c | 7,751$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.27 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Aurora | 17c | 7,464$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.54 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 7,437$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 55c | 7,310$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.46 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc835…3911backed Aurora | 15c | 7,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 49c | 6,816$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.46 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Aurora | 34c | 6,533$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.5 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 6,400$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 50c | 6,349$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Aurora | 41c | 6,300$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Aurora | 47c | 6,120$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Liquid | 50c | 6,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.99 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,982$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.9 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,940$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 5,890$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.28 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Aurora | 51c | 5,887$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 55c | 5,861$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.12 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Liquid | 52c | 5,447$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.11 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 5,361$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.05 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 5,352$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.31 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Aurora | 3c | 5,250$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…ec88backed Aurora | 40c | 5,188$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Team Liquid | 31c | 4,801$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.98 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 47c | 4,731$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.31 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Aurora | 49c | 4,715$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 48c | 4,612$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…072fbacked Aurora | 57c | 4,548$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Aurora | 46c | 4,509$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Liquid | 53c | 4,075$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.46 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Aurora | 50c | 4,018$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.72 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 43c | 3,955$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.81 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,906$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.93 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 42c | 3,820$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.39 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 3,814$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,722$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.52 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…873ebacked Aurora | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 3,661$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.47 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Aurora | 64c | 3,639$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.78 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,615$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.79 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1896…a7d6backed Aurora | 54c | 3,420$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,394$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.08 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 3,315$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked Team Liquid | 47c | 3,263$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.15 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora | 46c | 3,178$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.04 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Liquid | 49c | 3,075$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…3c97backed Aurora | 65c | 3,005$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.46 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…4742backed Team Liquid | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Aurora | 29c | 3,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.86 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…d3f0backed Aurora | 49c | 3,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,966$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.82 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,941$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.25 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,941$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.92 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,934$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.75 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Aurora | 47c | 2,852$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.35 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,834$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.67 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6a…599abacked Aurora | 44c | 2,815$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.95 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,685$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Aurora | 55c | 2,655$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.6 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 45c | 2,622$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.9 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,576$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.01 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,492$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.24 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Aurora | 30c | 2,439$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.58 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Aurora | 49c | 2,421$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.65 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 2,384$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.06 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 2,369$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,348$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.1 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.