Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x159178f85a431e1fbee113e95d7661dbec585bfcfe0038c7fcf5a2a46541255f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Liquid, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Aurora | 56c | 114,665$63,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,845.65 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 37c | 61,527$22,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,850.63 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Team Liquid | 48c | 41,000$19,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,680 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 51c | 33,550$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,550.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 47c | 19,652$9,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,300 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 75c | 15,498$11,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.95 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 14,400$5,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…629cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 50c | 7,965$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.22 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 50c | 7,500$3,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.34 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Aurora | 52c | 5,338$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.38 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Aurora | 67c | 5,153$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.61 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 4,616$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.48 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 4,429$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.79 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Team Liquid | 13c | 4,000$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.93 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,707$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.16 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa5…cd80backed Team Liquid | 42c | 3,700$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 2,925$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.58 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 22c | 2,828$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.98 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,571$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 2,456$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.6 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…053bbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 2,436$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Team Liquid | 40c | 2,253$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.34 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 45c | 2,125$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.75 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 23c | 2,004$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.92 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,973$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.2 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 64c | 1,890$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.74 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 50c | 1,802$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.89 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,726$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5b…26e2backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,701$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Aurora | 74c | 1,656$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.07 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 1,653$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.66 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,651$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.71 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,635$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.95 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…d8d6backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,498$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.09 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,350$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.5 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…7ee8backed Team Liquid | 12c | 1,267$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 73c | 1,232$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.44 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 1,174$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.16 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 1,125$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed Team Liquid | 27c | 1,120$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,110$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Team Liquid | 28c | 1,100$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,078$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.76 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,072$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.24 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Aurora | 45c | 1,062$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.1 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 28c | 1,037$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Aurora | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Team Liquid | 42c | 923.81$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Aurora | 74c | 912.31$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 48c | 910.98$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 902.19$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.96 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 48c | 900$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489b…a6ecbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 872$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Aurora | 59c | 852.62$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.57 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…fc37backed Aurora | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Aurora | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.72 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…eab3backed Team Liquid | 1c | 800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Liquid | 4c | 749$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Aurora | 55c | 688.89$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 50c | 593.24$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.69 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Team Liquid | 42c | 533.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Team Liquid | 3c | 531.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…4c19backed Team Liquid | 3c | 503.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Team Liquid | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed Team Liquid | 4c | 478.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 420$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Aurora | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…6e3dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 386.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 41c | 356.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…a80fbacked Aurora | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…6e75backed Aurora | 49c | 338.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.24 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…a640backed Aurora | 59c | 329.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…bd45backed Aurora | 74c | 320.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Aurora | 78c | 304$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Aurora | 59c | 288.89$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…67f1backed Team Liquid | 4c | 283.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Aurora | 64c | 279.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Aurora | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…1c3bbacked Aurora | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Liquid | 50c | 277.43$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Aurora | 53c | 274.55$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Team Liquid | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 60c | 258.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 28c | 255.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 254.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.